Monday, November 14, 2011

2012 Presidential Election Market Predicts Democrats Will Get Majority Of Popular Vote

The Iowa Electronic Election Markets now predict that the Democrats will garner a majority of the popular vote in the 2012 presidential election.

For the last several months, the Iowa market was predicting that the Republicans will get the majority of the popular vote in the next presidential election.

2012 US Presidential Election Vote Share Market
2012 US Presidential Election Vote Share Market
Source: Iowa Election Markets

The Intrade Market is also predicting a win for the Democrats (Obama) in the next presidential election, after several months of predicting a Republican win. See last Friday's blog post, "Republican Odds Of Winning 2012 Presidential Election Declining: Democrat (Obama) Now Favored To Win 2012 Presidency."


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