Friday, September 16, 2011

Election Prediction Markets Now Show Obama Losing In 2012

The Intrade election security market now shows a higher probability for the Republican presidential candidate to win the 2012 election than for the Democratic candidate. Intrade's odds are 50 percent for a Republican presidential win and 49.3 percent for a Democratic candidate win.

The Iowa election markets are consistent with a 51.8 percent popular vote share for the Republican candidate and a 48.8 percent share of the popular vote for the Democratic party candidate.

1 comment :

  1. and it's now higher than ever at 62.8%