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data for the 2012 presidential election voting share securities, from the Iowa Electronic Markets, shows that the Republicans are widening their lead in the popular vote for the next president. As it now stands, the public's vote for US president between the two major political parties, Republicans and Democrats, will be split 52.5 percent for the Republicans and 47.5 percent for the Democrats.
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From Iowa Electronic Markets 2012 US Presidential Election Markets |
Of course, it is the Electoral College and not the popular vote that decides which candidate will become the next President of the US.
The Intrade security for which political party will win the 2012 presidential election shows that the two parties, Democrats and Republicans, are virtually tied as to who will win the US Presidency in 2012 based on Electoral College votes. Intrade gives the
Republicans a 49.1 percent chance of winning in 2012 and it gives the
Democrats a 49 percent chance of winning the presidency.
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