Thursday, November 9, 2023

US Population Will Stop Growing By 2080 And Shrink By 2100: Census Bureau Projections

From The Wall Street Journal, "America’s Population Projected to Shrink by 2100, Census Figures Show: Declining birthrates and higher death rates are making the U.S. more reliant on immigration for growth" by Paul Overberg and Rosie Ettenheim:
Census Bureau projections released Thursday show that, under the most likely scenario, the U.S. will stop growing by 2080 and shrink slightly by 2100.

It is the first time that the bureau has projected a population decline as part of its main outlook for the coming decades. The only time the U.S. has recorded a population decline was in 1918, when the flu pandemic and deployment abroad of more than one million troops produced a small drop in the estimated population.

Slowing growth would produce a peak U.S. population of almost 370 million before an ebb to 366 million in the final years of the century, according to the bureau.

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