Tuesday, November 30, 2021

NYC Covid-19 Cases Versus Deaths, From 2020 Beginning to November 2021: NY Post

From New York Post, "There’s no safety in returning to COVID-19 lockdowns" by Jonathan S Tobin, November 29, 2021:

The first duty of any government is to protect its citizens, but you don’t have to be a libertarian absolutist to have noticed that COVID has been a gift that keeps on giving when it comes to the desire of federal, state and local governments to seize more power to deal with an emergency that never seems to end. 

COVID-19 cases and deaths chart
While cases of COVID-19 have fluctuated over the past two years, the number of deaths has fallen tremendously in places where vaccination rates are high. As this chart of New York City shows, deaths increased along with COVID cases in the summer of 2020. Yet a year later, even as cases spiked, the number of deaths didn’t rise as much. Today, more than 85 percent of adults in the city are vaccinated and the number of deaths over a seven-day average since June has rarely risen above 20, with multiple weeks of no deaths. When Omicron comes to the United States, the number of new cases won’t matter as much as hospitalizations and deaths — particularly since South African medical officials say symptoms are usually mild.
NY Post composite

 Chart Source: NY Post

 

 

Monday, November 22, 2021

Indoor Ventilation More Effective Than Face Masks For Decreasing Covid Spread

From Brownstone Institute, "A Fantasy of Virus-Free Air: " by Steve Templeton, November 19, 2021:

To give an idea of how ventilation increases the time to infectious dose compared to cloth (typical) masking, below is a table created using model calculations created by Dr. Lisa Brosseau, an expert with over 30 years of experience in PPE and particle filtration:

Although this table was created to illustrate the potential for high-quality respirators to decrease time to infectious dose (for workers in high-risk situations), you can also see the advantages of increased ventilation. As ACH [Air Changes Per Hour] increases, the time to infectious dose increases much more significantly than with face coverings, with differences that can be measured in hours for ventilation compared to minutes for masking. [Emphasis Added]

Increasing indoor ventilation is an effective strategy because airborne transmission is a significant route for SARS-CoV-2 spreadwhile surface transmission is not. Airborne virus may remain suspended in small aerosol particles for hours, rendering typical face coverings ineffective (and extended use of N95-type respirators is simply not practical). The 6-foot rule for social distancing, based early estimates of surface of large droplets, also becomes increasingly arbitrary in an airborne transmission scenario. These facts make adjustments to indoor ventilation an attractive strategy for building engineers seeking to decrease the risk of airborne virus transmission.

Thursday, November 11, 2021

US Regional Map Of Annual Inflation

From The Wall Street Journal, "Where Inflation Is Highest in U.S.:Prices have risen the most in Midwest and South as inflation hits 30-year high" by Danny Dougherty and Gwynn Guilford:

 Annual inflation, by region

5.0%

5.5%

6.0%

6.5%

7.0%

7.5%

Note: Consumer price index for all urban consumers

Source: Labor Department


Source: The Wall Street Journal

US Is Among Seven Countries In The Western World Recommending Or Requiring Masks For Children In Schools: 14 Countries Do Not Require Kids To Wear Face Coverings: DailyMail

From DailyMail.com, "REVEALED: US is one of only SEVEN countries in the Western world making kids wear masks in schools" by Mary Kekatos U.S. Health Editor For Dailymail.Com, Published: 17:47 EST, 10 November 2021 | Updated: 07:52 EST, 11 November 2021:
The U.S. is one of the few countries still recommending masks in schools as most nations let kids attend classes without face coverings.

Although states are allowed to set their own rules, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggests universal indoor masking for all students above age two regardless of vaccination status.

In fact, 68.2 percent of the 500 of the largest school districts in America still require masks, according to data analytics firm Burbio.

But there are only six other nations in the Western world that require or strongly advise kids to cover their noses and mouths. [Emphasis added]

Meanwhile, more than a dozen other countries, including the UK, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Germany and Australia have since dropped their mask mandates or never had them begin with.
***
Source: DailyMail.com




Friday, November 5, 2021

CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: Update

From Congressional Budget Office, "CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: 2019 Update" Presentation by Edward Gamber, analyst in CBO’s Macroeconomic Analysis Division, to OECD’s Working Party of Senior Budget Officials, November 5, 2021: