Monday, December 5, 2011

Investor-Owners of Multiple Homes Were Large Share Of Subprime Borrowers And Mortgage Defaulters During Housing Boom And Bust

From Federal Reserve Bank Of New York, "Flip This House”: Investor Speculation and the Housing Bubble" by Andrew Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Joseph Tracy, and Wilbert van der Klaauw:
new findings from our recent New York Fed study that uses unique data to suggest that real estate “investors”—borrowers who use financial leverage in the form of mortgage credit to purchase multiple residential properties—played a previously unrecognized, but very important, role. These investors likely helped push prices up during 2004-06; but when prices turned down in early 2006, they defaulted in large numbers and thereby contributed importantly to the intensity of the housing cycle’s downward leg.
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At the peak of the boom in 2006, over a third of all U.S. home purchase lending was made to people who already owned at least one house. In the four states with the most pronounced housing cycles, the investor share was nearly half—45 percent. Investor shares roughly doubled between 2000 and 2006. While some of these loans went to borrowers with “just” two homes, the increase in percentage terms is largest among those owning three or more properties. In 2006, Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada investors owning three or more properties were responsible for nearly 20 percent of originations, almost triple their share in 2000.
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Because investors don’t plan to own properties for long, they care much more about reducing their down-payments than reducing their interest rates. The expansion of the nonprime mortgage market during the 2000s provided the perfect opportunity for optimistic investors to get low-down-payment credit, albeit at high interest rates. As shown in the charts below, investors were far more likely than owner-occupants to use nonprime credit to make their purchases, especially at the peak.
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borrowers with multiple mortgages start out being better risks—their loans were less likely to become seriously delinquent before 2006—but end up accounting for a disproportionate amount of defaults thereafter. What changed in 2006? Prices started to fall. In 2007-09, investors were responsible for more than a quarter of seriously delinquent mortgage balances nationwide, and more than a third in Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada. [Emphasis added].

1 comment :

  1. The doom and gloom of housing industry always play a vital role in the country's economy. Here in singapore, we often see the surge in prices for years. Luckily, as the demand rises the favor has been passed to the sellers and developers. For anyone looking for real estate investment, a lot more options can be found here in singapore such as the newest north park residences.

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